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Albacore - South Atlantic, 2009
Marine Resource  Fact Sheet
Stock status report 2011
Albacore - South Atlantic, 2009
Fact Sheet Citation  
South Atlantic albacore
Owned byInternational Commission for the Conservation of Atlantic Tunas (ICCAT) More
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Species:
FAO Names :  en - Albacore, fr - Germon, es - Atún blanco
Geographic extent of Albacore - South Atlantic
Area Details Advanced search
Main Descriptors
Considered a single stock: Yes        Spatial Scale: Regional
Considered a management unit: Yes
 
 
History
 

The status of the South Atlantic albacore stocks is based on the 2011 assessment using available data up to 2009. Complete information is found in the Report of the 2011 ICCAT Albacore Stock Assessment Session.
Habitat and Biology
Climatic zone: Temperate.   Horizontal distribution: Oceanic.   Vertical distribution: Pelagic.  


Albacore is a temperate tuna widely distributed throughout the Atlantic Ocean and Mediterranean Sea. On the basis of the biological information available for assessment purposes, the existence of three stocks is assumed: northern and southern Atlantic stocks (separated at 5ºN) and Mediterranean stock. However, some studies support the hypothesis that various sub populations of albacore exist in the North Atlantic and Mediterranean. Likewise, there is likely intermingling of Indian Ocean and South Atlantic immature albacore which needs further research.

Scientific studies on albacore stocks, in the North Atlantic, North Pacific and the Mediterranean, suggest that environmental variability may have a serious potential impact on albacore stocks, affecting fisheries by changing the fishing grounds, as well as productivity levels and potential MSY of the stocks. Those unexplored aspects might explain recently observed changes in fisheries, such as the lack of availability of the resource in the Bay of Biscay in recent years, or the apparent decline in the estimated recruitment which are demanding focussed research.

The expected life-span for albacore is around 15 years. While albacore is a temperate species, spawning occurs in tropical waters. Present available knowledge on habitat, distribution, spawning areas and maturity of Atlantic albacore is based on limited studies, mostly from past decades.

More information on albacore biology and ecology is published in the ICCAT Manual.


Geographical Distribution
Jurisdictional distribution: Highly migratory


Albacore is a temperate tuna widely distributed throughout the Atlantic Ocean and Mediterranean Sea.
Water Area Overview
Spatial Scale: Regional

Geo References
Resource Structure
Considered a single stock: Yes


On the basis of the biological information available for assessment purposes, the existence of three stocks is assumed: northern and southern Atlantic stocks (separated at 5ºN) and Mediterranean stock (Figure 1).
Figure 1: Geographic distribution of albacore accumulated catch by major gears and decade (1960-2009). Baitboat and troll catches are aggregated by 5ºx5º degrees in the Bay of Biscay thus the spatial representation of catch is concentrated on this area. (See Figure 2 for total catch values by gear). The symbols for the 1950s information (top left) are scaled to the maximum catch observed during the 1950s, whereas the remaining plots are scaled to the maximum catch observed from 1960 to 2009.
Exploitation
 

Description of fisheries

South Atlantic
The recent total annual South Atlantic albacore landings were largely attributed to four fisheries, namely the surface baitboat fleets of South Africa and Namibia, and the longline fleets of Brazil and Chinese Taipei (Table 1; Figure 2). The surface fleets are entirely albacore directed and mainly catch juvenile and sub-adult fish (70 cm to 90 cm FL). These surface fisheries operate seasonally, from October to May, when albacore are available in coastal waters. Brazilian longliners target albacore during the first and fourth quarters of the year, when an important concentration of adult fish (> 90 cm ) is observed off the northeast coast off Brazil, between 5ºS and 20ºS, being likely related to favorable environmental conditions for spawning, particularly of sea surface temperature. The longline Chinese Taipei fleet operates over a larger area and throughout the year, and consists of vessels that target albacore and vessels that take albacore as by-catch, in bigeye directed fishing operations. On average, the longline vessels catch larger albacore (60 cm to 120 cm FL) than the surface fleets.

Total reported albacore landings for 2010 were 18,900 t, a decrease of about 19% from 2009 catch. The Chinese Taipei preliminary catch in 2010 was 10,975 t, an increase of 2,297 t as compared to that of 2009. However, the Chinese Taipei catch in the last years has decreased mainly due to a decrease in fishing effort targeting albacore. Chinese Taipei longliners (including boats flagged in Belize and St. Vincent and the Grenadines) stopped fishing for Brazil in 2003, which resulted in albacore only being caught as by-catch in tropical tuna-directed longline fisheries. Albacore is only caught as by-catch in Brazilian tropical tuna-directed longline and baitboat fisheries. In 2010, the catch of the Brazilian fishery was 271 t, showing an increase of about 35% compared to 2009. The average catch of about 4,287 t during the period 2000-2003 was obtained by the Brazilian longline fleet when albacore was a target species. In 2009, Uruguay reported 685 t, which represent an extremely high increase from previous reported years. Reported catch in 2010 (24 t) was, however, on the order of magnitude of earlier years.

In 2010, the estimated South African catch was 4,147 t (mainly baitboat), which represented a decrease of about 18% from 2009. In addition, in 2010 the Namibian total reported catch was 1,320 t (mainly baitboat), a decrease of 74% from 2009. Japan takes albacore as by-catch using longline gear. In 2010, the Japanese longline preliminary catch was 1,007 t, an increase of 9% from 2009. The relatively large increase from 238 t in 2007 was due to an increase in fishing effort in the waters off southern Africa (20-40˚S).

The trend in mean weight from the 1975 to 2009 period is shown in Figure 3. Surface fleets showed a stable trend from 1981 onwards with an average of 12.7 kg and a maximum and minimum weight of 16.5 kg and 10 kg, respectively. While the trend in mean weight for longline fisheries showed an increase after 1996.

Figure 2: Total albacore catches reported to ICCAT (Task I) by gear for the southern Atlantic stock including TAC.
Figure 3: Mean weight trend by surface and longline fisheries in South Atlantic stock.
Assessment
 




Assessment Model

In 2011, a stock assessment of the southern Atlantic albacore was conducted including catch, effort and size data up until 2009, and considering a broader range of methods than in the previous assessment.

The southern standardized CPUE trends are mainly for longline fisheries, which harvest mostly mature albacore. The longest time series (those of Japan and Taiwan), showed a strong declining trend in the early part of the time series, and less steep decline over the past decade. However, the Brazilian and Uruguayan longline CPUE series showed significant decreases in the late 1990’s. The CPUE from the recent South African baitboat fishery, harvesting mostly juvenile albacore, shows no apparent trend (Figure 4).

In the 2011 assessment, eight scenarios were considered. Stock status results varied significantly among them (Figure 5). In general, two different production model forms were considered. One showed more optimistic results than the other. However, the Committee lacked enough objective information to identify the most plausible scenarios. Considering the whole range of scenarios, the median MSY value was 27,964 t (ranging between 23,296 t and 98,371 t), the median estimate of current B/BMSY was 0.88 (ranging between 0.55 and 1.59) and the median estimate of current F/FMSY was 1.07 (ranging between 0.44 and 1.95). The wide confidence intervals reflect the large uncertainty around the estimates of stock status. Considering all scenarios, there is 54% probability for the stock to be both overfished and experiencing overfishing, 10% probability for the stock to be either overfished or experiencing overfishing, and 36% probability that biomass is above and fishing mortality is below the Convention objectives.


Figure 4: Standardized catch rates indices used in the 2011 southern albacore stock assessment from the longline fisheries, which take mostly mature fish, and from the surface fisheries (South African baitboat), which take mostly juvenile fish.
Figure 5: South Atlantic albacore. Upper panel: Median biomass and fishing mortality rates relative to MSY levels, with 50% credibility intervals, from the 4 base case Bayesian Surplus Production (BSP) models and the point estimate biomass and 50% credibility intervals for the 4 base case ASPIC Production models. Lower panel: Stock status trajectories of B/BMSY and F/FMSY, as well as uncertainty around the current estimate (Kobe plots) for the base case ASPIC models (Runs 2, 6, 7 and 8) alongside those from the base case BSP runs (1, 4, 12 and 13).
Overall Assessment Results
Projection

Outlook


The projection results differ between the base case scenarios. Since there is not objective information with which to select which scenario is more plausible, the group considered the entire range of scenarios, thus characterizing the range of possible responses, for part of the stock, to the distinct catch levels projected, depending on the scenario. Projections showed that harvesting at the current TAC level (29,900 t) would further decline the stock. However, if catches continue at the level of those experienced in the last few years, there is more than 50% probability to recover the stock in 5 years, and more than a 60% probability to do so in 10 years (Figure 6).


Figure 6: South Atlantic albacore. Upper panel: “Kobe plots” by Run for TAC projections; lines are the median stock trajectories. Quadrants are defined for the stock biomass and fishing mortality relative to BMSY and FMSY; i.e. red if SSB<BMSY and F>FMSY, green if SSB≥BMSY and F≤FMSY, and yellow otherwise. Lower panel: Kobe strategy matrix (K2SM) advice plot. Contours correspond to the probability of being in the Kobe quadrant corresponding to SSB≥BMSY and F≤FMSY by year for each of the TAC levels, integrated over all runs with equal probability.
Management
Considered a management unit: Yes


Effects of current regulations

In 2007 the Commission established a new TAC from 2008 to 2011 of 29,900 t [Rec. 07-03]. The Committee noted that reported catches in 2009 and 2010 were well below the TAC.


Management Advice

There is considerable uncertainty about the current stock status, as well as on the effect of alternative catch limits on the rebuilding probabilities of the southern stock. Results indicate that, most probably, the south Atlantic albacore stock is both overfished and experiencing overfishing. Projections showed that harvesting at the current TAC level (29,900 t) would further decline the stock. However, if catches continue at the level of those experienced in the last few years (around 20,000 t), there is more than 50% probability to recover the stock in 5 years, and more than a 60% probability to do so in 10 years. Further reductions in catches would increase the probability of recovery in those timeframes. And likewise, increases would reduce rebuilding probabilities and extend the timeframes. Catches over 24,000 t will not permit the rebuilding of the stock with at least 50% probability over the projection timeframe (Table 2).


Table 2. South Atlantic albacore estimated probabilities (in%) that the South Atlantic albacore stock is above BMSY and below FMSY in a specific year for various TAC levels, based on the results of the 2011 assessment.

TAC
Year 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000
2010 37 37 37 37 37
2011 38 38 38 38 38
2012 42 41 38 27 17
2013 49 45 39 25 16
2014 55 48 40 24 15
2015 60 51 41 23 14
2016 64 54 41 22 14
2017 68 56 42 21 13
2018 70 58 42 20 13
2019 72 60 42 19 12
2020 74 62 43 19 12
2021 76 63 43 18 12
2022 77 64 43 18 12
2023 78 65 43 17 11

SOUTH ATLANTIC ALBACORE SUMMARY

 

 

Current (2010) Yield

18,900 t

Maximum Sustainable Yield

27,964  (23,296-98,371) t1

Replacement Yield (2009)

Not estimated

SSB2009/SSBMSY 1

0.88 (0.55-1.59)1

Relative Fishing Mortality

 

F2009/FMSY 1

1.07 (0.44-1.95)1

Management measures in effect

 

 

[Rec. 07-03]: Limit Catches to 29,900 t until 2011

 

 

1 Reference points estimates based on 2011 assessment. Median range and 80% CI calculated for the whole range of the 8 base cases.
Biological State and Trend
Exploitation rate: F2009/FMSY = 1.07 range (0.44-1.95)
Abundance level: SSB2009/SSBMSY = 0.88 range (0.55-1.59)


Source of information
 
Standing Committee on Research and Statistics (SCRS) . “Albacore, Executive Summary.” Madrid, Spain 3-7 October 2011. ICCAT Click to open.
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