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Gag - Southeastern Atlantic coast of the USA
Fact Sheet Title  Fact Sheet
Status of stocks and resources 2019
Gag - Southeastern Atlantic coast of the USA
Fact Sheet Citation  
Gag grouper USA Southeast Atlantic
Owned byFood and Agriculture Organization (FAO) – ownership
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Species List:
Species Ref: en - Gag, fr - Badèche baillou, es - Cuna aguají, ar - بُقعة ذهب, zh - 小鳞喙鲈
ident Block Gag - Southeastern Atlantic coast of the USA
Aq Res
Biological Stock: Yes         Value: National
Management unit: Yes        Reference year: 2012
 
 
Aq Res State Trend
Aq Res State Trend
Aq Res State Trend Aq Res State Trend
Aq Res State TrendF2010−2012/FMSY = 1.23Not applicable
Aq Res State TrendSSB2012/SSBMSY = 0.97Not applicable
Aq Res State Trend
Aq Res State TrendMaximally sustainably fished

A gag grouper stock assessment for the Southeastern coast of the USA indicated that the stock was not overfished but that it was experiencing overfishing in 2012 (SEDAR, 2014a), and NMFS data show reduced landings for 2013-2016 for this stock. 
Habitat Bio
Climatic Zone: Tropical.   Vertical Dist: Demersal.  

Water Area Overview
Spatial Scale: National

Water Area Overview
Aq Res Struct
Biological Stock: Yes
Exploit
 

Time series of landings from four fleets were modeled: commercial handline (1962–2012), commercial diving (1976–2012), recreational headboat (1962–2012), and general recreational (1962–2012). Removals were modeled with the Baranov catch equation (Baranov 1918) and were fitted in either weight or numbers, depending on how the data were collected (1000 lb gutted weight for commercial fleets, and 1000 fish for recreational). 
Bio Assess
Uncertainty: Low

Data

Data up to 2012. Landings of gag from the southeastern US represent approximately 20% of total landings in FAO AREA 31. NMFS landings show a decreasing trend for 2013-2016. The catch-age model included data from four fleets that caught gag in southeastern U.S. waters: commercial handlines (hook-and-line), commercial diving, recreational headboats, and general recreational. The model was fitted to data on annual landings (in gutted weight for commercial fleets, in numbers for recreational fleets); annual dead discards (in numbers) from all fleets but diving; annual length compositions of landings; annual age compositions of landings; and three fishery dependent indices of abundance (commercial handlines, headboat, and general recreational). As in SEDAR10, discard mortality rates (proportions) of 0.4 for commercial handlines and 0.25 for recreational fleets were applied to the total discards. Ages used in composition data were 1−12+, a modification from SEDAR-10, which used ages 0−20+. The reason for this modification was that very few fish were observed at age 0 or older than age 12, and too many zeros in multinomial likelihoods can be problematic. Data used in the model are described further in §2 of this report.
Assess Models
Type:  Age-structured
Beaufort Assessment Model (BAM)

The primary model in this assessment was the Beaufort Assessment Model (BAM), which applies a statistical catch-age formulation. The model was implemented with the AD Model Builder software (Fournier et al. 2012). In essence, the model simulates a population forward in time while including fishing processes (Quinn and Deriso 1999; Shertzer et al. 2008a). Parameters to be estimated are systematically varied until characteristics of the simulated population matches available data on the real population. The model is similar in structure to Stock Synthesis (Methot 1989; 2009). Versions of BAM have been used in previous SEDAR assessments of reef fishes in the U.S. South Atlantic, such as red porgy, black sea bass, tilefish, blueline tilefish, greater amberjack, red grouper, snowy grouper, vermilion snapper, and red snapper, as well as in the previous SEDAR assessment of gag (SEDAR 2006).
Results

Results suggest that spawning stock declined until the mid-1980s and has since been relatively stable, fluctuating around MSST, with an upturn in the last several years. The terminal (2012) base-run estimate of spawning stock is near SSBMSY (SSB2012/SSBMSY = 0.97), as is the median estimate (SSB2012/SSBMSY = 1.04), and this level is above the MSST (base: SSB2012/MSST = 1.13; median: SSB2012/MSST = 1.21). Projections suggest that spawning biomass will decline in the years immediately after 2012, primarily because of poor recruitment in 2010 and 2011. The estimated fishing rate has exceeded the MFMT (represented by FMSY) for most of the last three decades, but has been decreasing in the last several years with the 2012 estimate below the MFMT. The current estimate of fishing rate, which is based on a three-year geometric mean, is above FMSY in the case of the base run (F2010−2012/FMSY = 1.23) and the median (F2010−2012/FMSY = 1.37). Thus, this assessment finds that the stock is experiencing overfishing, but is not overfished. The MCB analysis indicates that these estimates of stock and fishery status are robust, but also reveals some quantitative uncertainty in the results. Of all MCB runs, 97.5% are in qualitative agreement that the stock is not overfished (SSB2102/MSST > 1.0), and 92.5% that the stock is experiencing overfishing (F2010−2012/FMSY > 1.0). The estimated trends and terminal status indicators of this SEDAR-10-Update assessment are similar to those from the SEDAR-10 benchmark. However, the two assessments did show some differences in results, which was not surprising given several modifications made to both the data and model (described throughout the report). Of those modifications, the initialization procedure and weighting of data components were likely the primary drivers of any differences in results. Compared to SEDAR-10, this assessment suggests lower values of SSBMSY and MSY, and a higher value of FMSY. 
Sci Advice

• A primary weakness of this assessment is the lack of fishery independent information. In general, fishery dependent indices of abundance may not track actual abundance well, because of factors such as hyperdepletion or hyperstability. Furthermore, this issue can be exacerbated by management measures, such as closures due to quota regulations. During a closure, CPUE goes to zero and hence provides no information on relative abundance. In months outside of the closure, fishing effort may become concentrated with changes in catchability, which would affect the relationship between CPUE and abundance. As such management measures become more common in the southeast U.S., the continued utility of SEDAR 10 Update 24 Assessment Update Report April 2014 South Atlantic Gag fishery dependent indices in SEDAR stock assessments will be questionable. This situation amplifies the importance of fishery independent sampling. • The assessment accounted for the protogyny of gag implicitly by measuring spawning stock as the sum of male and female mature biomass, as recommended by Brooks et al. (2008). Accounting for protogynous sex change is important for stock assessments (Alonzo et al. 2008; Shepherd et al. 2013), and the approach taken here has the advantage of being tractable. However, it ignores possible dynamics of sexual transition, which may be quite complex (e.g., density dependent, mating-system dependent, occurring at local spatial scales). In addition, a protogynous life history accompanied by size- or age-selective harvest places disproportionate fishing pressure on males. This situation creates the possibility for population growth to become limited by the proportion of males. When this occurs, accounting for male (sperm) limitation may be important to the stock assessment (Alonzo and Mangel 2004; Brooks et al. 2008); however, in practice there is typically little or no information available to quantify sperm limitation. In this assessment, the proportion of adult fish that are male drops below 10% in most years, and is below 10% in recent years since the mid-1980s (Table 10). The equilibrium proportion of adult fish that are male at MSY is near 20% (in numbers), but again, this estimate does not explicitly account for the dynamics of sperm limitation. • Most assessed stocks in the southeast U.S. have shown histories of heavy exploitation. High rates of fishing mortality can lead to adaptive responses in life-history characteristics, such as growth and maturity schedules. Such adaptations can affect expected yield and stock recovery, and thus resource managers might wish to consider possible evolutionary effects of fishing in their management plans (Dunlop et al. 2009; Enberg et al. 2009).
Management
Management unit: Yes
Sources
 
FAO. Western Central Atlantic Fishery Commission. 2019. Review of the state of fisheries and fisheries resources in the WECAFC region. Meeting document WECAFC/SAG/IX/2018/3 of the ninth session of the Scientific Advisory Group, Christ Church, Barbados, 19-20 November 2018.  Click to openhttp://www.fao.org/fi/static-media/MeetingDocuments/WECAFC/SAG2018/3e.pdf
SEDAR. 2014a.Stock Assessment of Gag off the Southeastern United States. SEDAR Update Assessment. Southeast Fisheries Science Center. National Marine Fisheries Service. 112 pp.  Click to openhttp://sedarweb.org/docs/suar/SA_GagUpdate2014__4.11.2014.pdf
Bibliography
 
FAO. Western Central Atlantic Fishery Commission/FAO Commission des pêches pour l’Atlantique Centre-Ouest/FAO Comisión Central de Pesca para el Atlántico CentroOccidental. 2019. Report of the ninth session of the Scientific Advisory Group, Christ Church, Barbados, 19-20 November 2018. Rapport de la neuvième session du Groupe scientifique consultatif, Christ Church, Barbade, 19-20 Novembre 2018. Informe de la octava sesión del Grupo Asesor Científico, Christ Church, Barbados, 19-20 de Noviembre de 2018. FAO Fisheries and Aquaculture Report/Rapport sur les pêches et l’aquaculture/Informe de Pesca y Acuicultura. No. 1266. Bridgetown, 156 pp.  Click to openhttp://www.fao.org/3/ca4776t/ca4776t.pdf
All references to figures, tables and bibliography in the text are found within the source of information.
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