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Sole - Skagerrak and Kattegat, 2006
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Stock status report
Sole - Skagerrak and Kattegat, 2006
Sole in Division IIIa
Fact Sheet Citation  
Owned byInternational Council for the Exploration of the Sea (ICES)   more>>
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Species:
Solea solea
Solea vulgaris
Fao Names :  en - Common sole, fr - Sole commune, es - Lenguado común
Distribution of Sole - Skagerrak and Kattegat
 Map legend

Area Details Advanced search
Main Descriptors
Considered a single stock: Yes        Spatial Scale: Sub-Regional
Considered a management unit: Yes
 
 
Habitat and Biology
Depth zone: Shelf    Vertical distribution: Demersal/benthic    

Geographical Distribution
Jurisdictional distribution: National

Water Area Overview
Spatial Scale: Sub-Regional

Geo References
Resource Structure
Considered a single stock: Yes
Exploitation
 

Factors affecting the fisheries and the stock


Regulations and their effects


The Danish fishery is regulated by half-monthly rations that depend on vessel length and which vary over the year. The rations have been reduced in the period 2002 to 2004, reflecting the decline in the agreed TAC. The Danish sole fishery was closed late in the years 2002 to 2004. Analyses of private logbooks, survey data, and observer data indicate that during 2002–2004 there was considerable economic incentive to land sole without reporting as the entire two-week ration in many cases could be taken in just a few hauls.

The management area includes Division IIIa plus the Western Baltic (Subdivisions 22–24). Danish vessel rations cover the management area and there is therefore no incentive to misreport sole taken in Division IIIa into the Western Baltic.

Changes in fishing technology and fishing patterns


There are no major changes in the sole-directed fishery in recent years. Changes in the regulations for the Nephrops fishery, with the introduction of a sorting grid system in the trawls, may have resulted in smaller bycatch and improved selectivity on sole.

The environment


The stock is probably influenced by both temperature and salinity because it is located near the species’ physiological limits for both of these factors.
Assessment
 
Assessment Model
Assessment Model Entry
Data

Scientific basis


Data and methods


The analytical assessment includes cpue data from three commercial tuning series (reference fleets) and one scientific survey series. Different assumptions on misreporting/discarding have been explored.

For the period 1991–1993, the official catch statistics are uncertain as a reflection of the actual landings with a significant amount of misreporting. For 1994–2000 the official statistics for Kattegat are assumed to fairly accurately reflect actual landings. In this period most of the sole catches were taken in Kattegat in the sole fishery under an effort control regime. The assessment includes corrections for considerable misreporting by areas in 2000 and 2001.

The current assessment includes non-reported and discarded catch at 50% of the official landings in 2002 and 100% in both 2003 and 2004. These estimates are based on information from the industry. In 2005, in view of the less restrictive TAC, an estimate of 20% misreporting was included. The available data from discard sampling is insufficient to be used directly in the assessment and are not included in the assessment.

Information from the fishing industry


Collaboration between the Danish Fishers’ Organisation and DIFRES was initiated in 2004 to establish a database with data from private logbooks. Haul-specific data from six trawlers and three gillnetters covering the time period 1987 to 2006 were used in the assessment.

Uncertainties in assessment and forecast


The main uncertainty in the present assessment is caused by imprecise catch data and becomes apparent by divergent signals in the cpue data. There is still a need for fishery-independent data as the current survey does not target sole. A sole-directed research survey was initiated in 2004, but this time-series is currently too short to be included in the assessment.

The sensitivity of the assessment to assumptions regarding non-reporting and discarding was evaluated last year for a range of likely scenarios. The sensitivity analysis was repeated this year for the assumption of 20% misreporting in 2005 and indicated that any assumptions up to 20% misreporting will have virtually no effect on the recent SSB and fishing mortality estimates, and only an insignificant effect on the SSB and F estimates for 2005.
Overall Assessment Results

Exploitation boundaries in relation to high long-term yield, low risk of depletion of production potential and considering ecosystem effects


A candidate for a reference point consistent with taking high long-term yields and achieving a low risk of depleting the productive potential of the stock is F0.1.

Comparison with previous assessment and advice


The present assessment is consistent with the 2006 exploratory assessment and supports the perception of a high SSB in recent years (Figure 6.4.9.3). The assessment is robust to assumptions of misreporting ratios in 2002–2005, and appears to be reliable after the inclusion of the catch year 2006 where the catch data has improved due to the discontinuation of misreporting. The present advice is therefore based on short-term forecasts and not on a status quo catch as last year.
Graphs 
Graphs 
Graphs 
Graphs 


Figure 6.4.9.1 Sole in Division IIIa. Landings, fishing mortality, recruitment, and SSB.
Graphs 
Graphs 
Graphs 


Figure 6.4.9.2 Sole in Division IIIa. Stock recruitment, yield, and precautionary approach.
Figure 6.4.9.3 Sole in Division IIIa. Historical performance of the assessments. Some previous assessments were indicative of trends only.
Graphs 

Landing table


Table 6.4.9.1 Sole in Division IIIa. Catches (tonnes) in the Kattegat and Skagerrak 1952–2005. Official statistics and Working Group corrections. For Sweden there is no information 1962–1974.Landing table1) Considerable non-reporting assumed for the period 1991–1993.
2) Catches from Skagerrak were reduced by these amounts because of misreporting from the North Sea. The subtracted amount has been added to the North Sea sole catches. Total landings for these years in IIIA has been reduced by the amount of misreporting.
3) Assuming misreporting rates at 50, 100, 100, and 20% in 2002–2005, respectively.

Table 6.4.9.2 Sole in Division IIIa.
Stock summary
Year Recruitment SSB Landings Mean F
- Age 2 - - Ages 4–8
  thousands tonnes tonnes  
1984 2760 885 337 0.4616
1985 6263 1132 397 0.2507
1986 5149 2014 643 0.3888
1987 5147 2163 722 0.6063
1988 3597 2361 706 0.3588
1989 5730 2404 824 0.4207
1990 7240 2900 1050 0.3433
1991 7298 3301 1011 0.4164
1992 9266 4742 1294 0.4314
1993 6754 4657 1439 0.4605
1994 3555 4682 1198 0.3595
1995 3407 3815 1297 0.5500
1996 2236 3601 1059 0.3352
1997 1145 2973 814 0.3684
1998 4599 2401 605 0.3014
1999 3289 2476 638 0.3061
2000 2514 2492 633 0.3134
2001 4144 2531 455 0.1935
2002 5991 2969 845 0.3460
2003 6296 3302 600 0.2901
2004 5940 4076 782 0.3060
2005 3334 4289 878 0.2497
2006 3937 3947 729 0.2173
2007 3540 4146    
Average 4714 3094 824 0.3598
Reference Point
 
Reference points(established in 1999)

Yield and spawning biomass per Recruit
F-reference points
Reference points
  Fish Mort Yield/R SSB/R
  Ages 4–8    
Average last 3 years 0.26 0.20 0.93
Fmax 0.52 0.21 0.55
F0.1 0.16 0.18 1.30
Fmed 0.50 0.21 0.56
Projection

Short-term implications
Short-term implications
Scientific Advice

Single-stock exploitation boundaries


Exploitation boundaries in relation to existing management plans


There is no management plan implemented for this stock.

Exploitation boundaries in relation to precautionary considerations


The fishing mortality in 2008 should be kept below Fpa, corresponding to catches of less than 970 t.

Management considerations


During the period 2002–2004 there was considerable misreporting due to limiting TACs and weekly rations. Since the middle of 2005, the increase in TAC and improved control are thought to have resulted in a reduction of misreporting.

Sole is taken in a directed trawl fishery with bycatch of Nephrops and cod. Cod in the Kattegat is considered to be severely depleted. Also, sole is taken as bycatch in the Nephrops trawl fishery. There is a directed gillnet fishery for sole.

Management plan evaluations


No management plan is implemented for this stock.
Management
Considered a management unit: Yes

Management Objectives

There are no management objectives for this stock.

Catch and TACs
Catch and TACsWeights in ‘000 t.
1) Uncertain.
Biological State and Trend
Exploitation rate:   Harvested sustainably                   
Abundance level:   Full reproductive capacity    

State of the stock
Based on the most recent estimates of SSB and F, ICES classifies the stock as having full reproductive capacity and being harvested sustainably. SSB has increased since 1998 to 3900 t in 2006 and is now well above Bpa. Fishing mortality has decreased since 2002 to 0.2 in 2006, which is well below Fpa.
Source of information
 

Report of the Baltic Fisheries Assessment Working Group. Copenhagen, 17–26 April 2007 (ICES CM 2007/ACFM:15).
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